Shuanghui How To Face The Market Test &Nbsp; Experts Give Six Big Conjectures.

After 34 days of long wait, Shuanghui Development resumed yesterday. resumption Direct limit down, 70.15 yuan, Shuanghui development will face the test of the market?

Conjecture 1: continuous limit is inevitable, big drop or investment opportunity. Before the resumption, the industry generally predicted that after the resumption of Shuanghui development, there will be a short-term limit or a quick pullback. It is generally believed that there are two down limits, but most brokerages are optimistic about the future of Shuanghui development.

In an interview with reporters, Yang Hai, chief financial analyst of the financial industry, said that when a listed company had a sudden incident, the agency would usually sell shares. The main investors in Shuanghui development are institutions. Their reduction in stock prices is a normal phenomenon for the 2-3 price limits.

Guotai Junan research report pointed out: Lean meat essence The impact of the incident may not be as pessimistic as it had expected. If the stock price falls below 65 yuan, it will be very attractive. The fall will provide a buying opportunity with a target price of 90 yuan.

Conjecture two: short term "recovery" is not easy, but long-term investment can still be expected. Ping An Securities early April research report also indicated that it is expected that Shuanghui development sales volume is expected to resume in April. Taking into account Shuanghui's incentives and management capabilities to dealers, and product testing qualified reports, it is expected that it will still achieve the commitment level of 2011 in the restructuring plan.

Conjecture three: 56 yuan, whether the bottom price is controversial, is still strong support for stock prices. Hu Chunxia, an analyst at Guotai Junan, believes that Shuanghui's development will carry out a series of assets injection, accompanied by shareholder changes. Shuangtai group and its related employees will become the actual controller of the company and trigger the tender offer. It should be said that Shuanghui asset injection will not be changed. It is time or postponed. But even according to the most pessimistic assumption, asset restructuring is cancelled. The tender offer triggered by shareholder changes is still valid. The offer price of 56 yuan provides an absolute safe base price. Because there are about 56 yuan / share takeover price, the industry believes that the possibility of a continuous drop in Shuanghui development shares is unlikely. This will also form a strong support for the company's share price.

Conjecture four: the fund is caught in a dilemma, a big escape or a foregone conclusion. Shuanghui development is institutional heavy warehouse stocks. According to the 2010 annual report of the fund, there are many funds holding Shuanghui development, and only 56 of the ten heavily loaded stocks will enter the market. A strategist at the Securities Research Institute said that so many organizations were deeply involved in the development of Shuanghui. If the shares were to fall, the losses would be unpredictable. But even so, it may be just a temporary practice of the organization. In the long run, the fund's escape may be a foregone conclusion.

Conjecture five: the public fund is expected to "warm up the regiment" and avoid losing even more. The industry also has a prediction that after the resumption of Shuanghui development, the public funds are likely to "hold together and keep warm" and keep the stock price of Shuanghui to avoid greater losses.

Conjecture six: high delivery or the most timely "straw". Another industry insider pointed out that since the implementation of a 10 increase of 5 shares in April 2004, the development of Shuanghui has not been transferred to 1 shares in 7 years. If you want to stabilize the confidence of the organization under the current disadvantage, high delivery may be the most immediate way for Shuanghui to develop.