Only By Stimulating Consumption Can The Silk Industry Reappear Brilliantly.

After May 25th, it was already weak.

Re emergence of large

The spot market fell to 320 thousand yuan / ton price, the main force in September and March next year contracts have fallen below 310 thousand yuan / ton.

At the end of 5, the cocoon silk market seemed to go back to the low level of the new market at the beginning of the year.

"The price is indeed falling, but in terms of the purchase price, let alone 42 yuan / kg, even if it is 34 yuan / kg, we are all happy, but the real paction is not so optimistic."

A Tongxiang silkworm farmer said.

The spring cocoons in the Zhejiang area began to be bought only in those days. Before that, the two batches of cocoons in the Guangxi area were already in place, and the initial purchase price was basically above 36 yuan / kg.

Therefore, when the price of Zhejiang new cocoon guidance price was 30 yuan / kg, there was a lot of saliva.

The price of silkworm farmers in the western region has dropped too much.

However, according to the author and cocoon and silk business people, the price of the new cocoon should be 30 yuan / kg ~36 yuan / kg, the low level can not be broken 24 yuan / kg, and then low damage farmers mulberry.

If a high level breaks through 40 yuan / kg, it will have a fatal impact on the downstream and remote markets, which has been confirmed in 2011.

Well, if so, the price of the new cocoon is reasonable at the present stage. Of course, the cocoon market is still in a weak callback at this stage, which is particularly unfavorable for the silkworm farmers.

In the past year, some enterprises suggested that the reasonable price of cocoon silk should be between 300 thousand yuan / ton ~33 yuan / ton - after all, the current cost is rising, and the price of the previous about 200000 yuan / ton can not be the same.

But why is cocoon silk market controversial in recent two years? The most important reason is that price volatility is too frequent.

For this year, the spot market of cocoon silk has gone through a great turbulence. From the price of 300 thousand yuan / ton of new market in the beginning of the year, it broke through 330 thousand yuan / ton until the beginning of April, and the fluctuation was enough to make every cocoon and silk people fear.

However, after entering mid April, the price of cocoon silk began to drop sharply. Until May 31st, the spot price of domestic 3A grade silk fell to 315 thousand yuan / ton.

Comparing the price of the new city and the current price, the overall price of cocoon silk is still rising this year.

However, it is worth noting that today's 315 thousand yuan / ton does not seem to be the bottom price. Judging from the trend of cocoon silk monitoring by business associations, the price curve is still in a downward trend, and the market is accelerating the consolidation of weakness.

Cocoon silk market warming and consumption

The decline of the cocoon silk market is the first straight decline since the new city, and the cycle lasted more than a month. What is more serious is that the decline is still unchanged.

Looking at the declines in this period, there are several reasons: first, the impact of the new cocoon listing. The impact of the new cocoon is the first step in this declines. The new cocoons in the early Guangxi area are listed first, and the high price has been close to 40 yuan / kg.

The quality of new cocoons is good, and the value of rare ones is expensive, which led to a rise in raw silk prices.

However, not long ago, with the mass listing of new cocoons in Guangxi, cocoon quality declined, and the quantity increased sharply, resulting in the rapid decline of the purchasing price of new cocoons.

Two, consumption is sluggish. Silk consumption has not been warm in recent two years, mainly due to the influence of European and American economies.

Silk is a high-end product. China's exports of silk products are mostly consumed by the developed countries in Europe and the United States, while the economic shrinkage restricts its consumption, and domestic consumption has not been improved, thus restricting the development of the domestic cocoon and silk industry. This is also the crux of the weakening of the cocoon silk market since last year's price fall.

The three is the recent economic factors.

It is undeniable that May is a turbulent month.

Under the influence of the new cocoon, there has been a weak callback in the cocoon silk market. In May, the crisis in the euro area was revival, or Greece would withdraw from the euro area. These external macro factors rapidly affected the international market, and then severely impacted the domestic commodity market. In May, the bulk commodity market was almost all weak.

This is even worse for the cocoon silk market. Therefore, since the late May, the cocoon silk market has once again been bogged down.

If the cocoon and silk industry wants to reappear brilliantly and consume abroad, it will be the ultimate good policy to stimulate domestic consumption.