Industry Data: The Prosperity Index Of Textile And Clothing Professional Market Fluctuated Slightly In January And February

The prosperity monitoring results of China Textile Federation Circulation Branch show that in January and February 2025, the prosperity index of national textile and clothing professional market managers is 49.95, up 0.65 percentage points from the previous period; The business climate index of professional market was 49.88, down 0.59 percentage points from the previous period.

　　 1、 Managers' prosperity is rising, and merchants' prosperity index is declining

The data shows that in January and February, the boom index of managers in the national textile and clothing professional market increased, while the boom index of merchants decreased. Both the boom index of managers and the boom index of merchants were lower than 50.

　　 1. Managers' prosperity index rose by 0.65 percentage points

Table 1 List of Manager Index

From the perspective of managers' prosperity index, in the total index, managers' prosperity index in January and February was 19.95, up 0.65 percentage points from the previous period; The business environment index was 50.00, down 0.65 percentage points from the previous period.

Among the sub indexes, the total business volume index was 49.68, up 0.33 percentage points from the previous period; The logistics shipment index was 50.00, up 0.65 percentage points from the previous period; The passenger flow index was 49.35, unchanged from the previous period; The door opening rate index was 50.00, up 0.97 percentage points from the previous period; The rental index was 49.68, up 0.97 percentage points from the previous period; The e-commerce sales index was 50.97, up 0.97 percentage points from the previous period.

　　 2. Business climate index dropped by 0.59%

Table 2 List of Merchant Indexes

From the perspective of business climate index, in the total index, the business climate index in January and February was 49.88, 0.59 percentage points lower than the previous period; The business environment index was 52.17, up 1.04 percentage points from the previous period.

Among the sub indexes, the sales volume index was 49.16, down 0.77 percentage points from the previous period; The average price index was 50.63, up 0.70 percentage points from the previous period; The profitability index was 49.51, down 0.22 percentage points from the previous period; The comprehensive cost index was 50.00, down 0.67 percentage points from the previous period; The inventory index was 50.00, down 1.07 percentage points from the previous period; The e-commerce sales index was 50.00, down 1.47 percentage points from the previous period.

　　 2、 Data analysis

　　 1. The market operating performance gradually rebounded

In January and February, 9.68% of the total market operation decreased, 9.67 percentage points lower than the previous period; 6.45% of the market logistics shipments decreased, 12.90 percentage points lower than the previous period. During the New Year period from January to February, the annual goods economy boosted the sales of textile and clothing commodities, so all indicators of the professional market showed a rising trend.

Figure 1 Total business volume index

Figure 2 Logistics Delivery Index

　　 2. The pressure of market operation has eased

In January and February, 12.90% of the professional market's opening rate declined, down 6.45 percentage points from the previous period, and 3.23% of the professional market's rent showed a downward trend, down 12.90 percentage points from the previous period; 80.65% of the professional market remained unchanged, up 12.91 percentage points over the previous period. In January and February, the market opening rate and rent both recovered from the previous period, and the index showed a small increase. The passenger flow index was the same as that of the previous period. It can be seen that the operating pressure of the professional market has eased.

Figure 3 Door opening rate index

Figure 4 Passenger Flow Index

Figure 5 Rent Index

　　 3. Business performance of merchants fluctuated slightly

In January and February, 16.78% of the total sales of merchants in the market decreased, 8.78 percentage points higher than the previous period; The profits of 12.59% of market merchants decreased, 3.92 percentage points higher than that of the previous period; The sales price of 0.70% of the market merchants decreased by 7.30 percentage points compared with the previous period. Affected by the cross year effect, the total sales volume, price level and profitability of the professional market in January and February fluctuated slightly.

Figure 6 Sales Index

Figure 7 Profitability Index

Figure 8 Average selling price index

　　 4. Merchant costs and inventory pressure increased

In January and February, the comprehensive cost of 0.00% of the market merchants decreased, 9.33 percentage points lower than the previous period; The inventory of 1.40% professional market merchants decreased, down 11.93 percentage points from the previous period. January and February were just around the beginning of the new year. Affected by the closure of the market during the Spring Festival, the cost of merchants and inventory pressure in the professional market showed an upward trend, and both indexes fell to 50.00.

Figure 9 Comprehensive Cost Index

Figure 10 Inventory Index

　　 5. E-commerce sales fluctuated slightly

In January and February, 9.68% of professional market e-commerce sales increased, 3.23 percentage points higher than the previous period; The e-commerce sales of 0.00% merchants increased, 15.33 percentage points lower than the previous period. The e-commerce sales index of professional market increased by 0.97 percentage points, and the e-commerce sales index of professional market merchants decreased by 1.47 percentage points, both of which remained above 50.

Figure 11 Manager E-commerce Sales Index

Figure 12 E-commerce sales index of merchants

　　 3、 Prediction index

The data shows that, for managers, the boom index of managers in the next period is 50.65, up 0.33 percentage points from the previous period; The business environment index for the next period was 50.32, up 0.32 percentage points from the previous period. In terms of merchants, the business climate index of the next period was 52.03, up 0.76 percentage points from the previous period; The business environment index for the next period was 52.10, up 1.17 percentage points from the previous period. After the Spring Festival holiday, the market and merchants have basically returned to normal operation, and the four prediction indexes have shown an upward trend compared with the previous period, all higher than 50, indicating that professional market managers and merchants are more confident about the business situation in March 2025.

　　 enclosure:

　　 1. Monitoring methods

"Prosperity index of textile and clothing professional market" consists of "manager index" and "merchant index". Using the sampling method, select markets and merchants of different business categories such as clothing, fabrics, home textiles and small commodities nationwide, and fill in the managers' prosperity index questionnaire and merchants' prosperity index questionnaire respectively.

　　 2. Monitoring samples

The managers' prosperity sample consists of 31 professional textile and clothing markets, including Guangzhou Baima Clothing Market, Shandong Jimo Clothing Market, Jiangsu Dieshiqiao Home Textile Market, Shanghai Xinqipu Clothing Market, and Liaoning Xiliu Clothing Market. The business prosperity sample consists of 147 businesses such as Taotao Clothing, Suntory Textile, Weibang Home Textile, and Vitoli Cashmere.

　　 3. Monitoring period

The business climate monitoring cycle is monthly, submitted at the end of each month, and released at the beginning of the next month.

　　 4. Index composition

In the "Prosperity Index of Textile and Garment Professional Market", the "manager index" consists of four first level indexes, namely, the current manager prosperity index, the next manager prosperity index, the current business environment index, and the next business environment index; The "current manager prosperity index" consists of six secondary indexes, namely, total business volume index, logistics delivery volume index, passenger flow index, door opening rate index, rent index and e-commerce sales index.

The "merchant index" consists of four primary indexes, namely, the merchant prosperity index of the current period, the merchant prosperity index of the next period, the business environment index of the current period, and the business environment index of the next period; The "merchant boom index of the current period" consists of six secondary indexes, namely sales index, average selling price index, profitability index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and e-commerce sales index.

　　 5. Exponential analysis

The positive index includes managers' total business volume index, logistics delivery volume index, passenger flow index, merchant opening rate index, rent index, e-commerce sales proportion index and merchant sales index, average selling price index, profitability index, e-commerce sales proportion index. If the positive index exceeds 50, it indicates that the business situation is optimistic, and the greater the value, the more optimistic it will be; The positive index is lower than 50, indicating that the business situation is not optimistic; The smaller the number, the more pessimistic.

The reverse index includes merchant cost index and inventory index. When the cost index exceeds 50, it indicates that the merchant's cost pressure decreases. The larger the value, the smaller the cost pressure; The cost index is lower than 50, indicating that the merchant's cost pressure increases. The smaller the value, the greater the cost pressure. When the inventory index exceeds 50, it indicates that the merchant's inventory pressure decreases. The larger the value, the smaller the inventory pressure; The inventory index is lower than 50, indicating that the merchant's inventory pressure increases. The smaller the value, the greater the inventory pressure.

(Source: China Textile Federation Circulation Branch)